Iran War
Analysis, updates, and background.
Why Iran Isn’t Blinking Yet
Trump’s blockade aims to force damaging shutdowns at Iranian oil fields. But Tehran has been through this before.
Iran’s Survival Is Not Victory
Tehran’s latest rhetoric is reframing its abdication as a self-respecting state.
Why Are the Saudis Sitting Out the War With Iran?
A more active approach would help cement Riyadh’s regional clout.
Iran Has All the Hallmarks of a Forever War
There is a way out of this mess—but not right away.
Trump’s Plans
The Strategic Aftershocks of Trump’s Iran War
The consequences will be felt long after the fighting ends.
What Really Happened in Islamabad—and What Trump Is Trying Now
The president is betting economic pressure can do what bombs couldn’t.
America’s Problem With Diplomacy Predates Trump
Witkoff and Kushner are merely the tip of the iceberg.
How Iran Hawks Are Viewing the Cease-Fire
John Bolton explains why he wishes Trump finished the job.
Energy Shock
The Iran War’s Agriculture Shock Isn’t Over Yet
Even with a cease-fire deal in place, vital energy and fertilizer flows remain trapped.
The Energy Crisis Won’t End Right Away (Even if the Iran War Does)
Even if the cease-fire holds, it will take months to undo the damage.
The Iran War Comes for the ‘King of Chemicals’
The conflict is wreaking havoc on an obscure sector that is more important than you’d think.
This Isn’t a 1970s Oil Shock
The Iran war has disrupted a different, more fragile global energy system.
Iran’s Intentions
What Iran Wants From the War
Coercive bargaining returns to the Persian Gulf.
Tehran Can’t Count on Hormuz
The regime survived, but this doesn’t make it as strong as it thinks.
Iran’s Escalation Strategy Won’t Work
Tehran’s compulsive gambling has paid off in the past, but this time looks different.
Iran’s Islamic Republic 2.0 is Coming—and It Won’t Be Pretty
How Trump’s tactical victory could turn into a forever war.
Military Strategy
Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Toolkit: Drones, Missiles, and Mines
A breakdown of the tools Iran has to maintain pressure on Trump.
The Drone Attrition Trap
The Middle East conflict shows Washington hasn’t yet learned enough about cheap drones from Kyiv.
America’s War Machine Runs on Tungsten—and It Could Run Out
U.S. operations in Iran risk draining limited U.S. stocks.
Iran and the New Arithmetic of War
Cheap autonomous weapons are overturning the economics of combat—and teaching the United States important lessons.
Israel’s Approach
The U.S. and Israel Aren’t Fighting the Same War
It would be a mistake for Trump to defer to Netanyahu’s regime change fantasies.
Even From Their Bomb Shelters, Most Israelis Support the War on Iran
But a long campaign would be hard to sustain.
Blaming Israel Lets Washington Off the Hook
Joe Kent’s resignation letter mixes fact and fiction to deleterious effect.
The Iran War Is Eroding Israel’s Nuclear Ambiguity
Officially or not, Washington is now breaking the taboo and talking about its ally’s bombs.
Latest Stories
War Handed Public Space Back to Iran’s Regime
After years of quiet encroachment by ordinary people, the Islamic Republic reclaims the urban landscape.
U.S. War in Iran Leaves Ukraine’s Air Defense in Limbo
Ukraine and its partners are holding their breath to see what’s next for Patriot air defense missile deliveries.
Trump’s War Exposes the Weakness of Middle Powers
Collective action by lesser powers will not shape the global order.
Why Trump Might Come to Regret the Iran War
He hoped it would be transformational; instead, it’s just one more round in the conflict.
The View From Europe
Belgian Defense Minister Theo Francken on Hegseth, Hormuz, and NATO.
‘Everything Depends on Our Attitudes’
Belgian Defense Minister Theo Francken on Hegseth, Hormuz, and NATO’s future.
An Ayatollah for the Aggrieved
For Iran’s Sunni admirers, resistance remains the appeal.
‘Resign Immediately’: Democrats Grill Hegseth on Iran War
Congressional Democrats fought with the U.S. defense secretary over the war and military spending in a rare public hearing.
Iran Is More Unified Than Ever
The war has deepened Iranian officials’ connections with one another—and with the public.
What Congress Could Do to Stop the War
Republicans are declining to use their power of the purse.
The Iran War Is Tearing Trump’s Coalition Apart
MAGA is not necessarily the same thing as America First.
The U.S. Shouldn’t Rule the Seas Forever
Why the United States can no longer guarantee freedom of navigation—and why it doesn’t need to.
The Hormuz Hit to Helium
The Iran war is choking off a critical input for chipmaking and AI infrastructure.
Trump’s Iran War Approaches a Fresh Legal Hurdle
Pressure will increase on congressional Republicans to vote to end the war if it surpasses the legal time limit.
An Economic War of Attrition
The U.S. and Iran have gone from lobbing missiles to inflicting pocketbook pain.
Iran Is Calling the Shots Now
Tehran is following Ho Chi Minh’s playbook in Vietnam.